A recent poll by the Texas Research Organization finds incumbent Governor Rick Perry with a 16-point lead over Democratic challenger, former Houston Mayor Bill White. With nearly six months to go before the November general election, Perry leads White 46 percent to 30 percent among registered voters, with 24 percent undecided. Similar surveys conducted by Rasmussen Reports give Perry a 49 to 42 percent advantage among “likely voters” in the Rasmussen polling average.
“Governor Perry holds a sizable lead among active voter households, while Rasmussen Reports shows the race to be closer among “likely voters,” said Dr. Greg Hupp, senior research analyst with the Texas Center for Public Policy Research. “Our active voter model pulls the sample of registered voters from households with a known history of participating in a previous election.”
As would be expected, Perry and White do very well within their own party ranks, with both taking about 70 percent of self-declared Republicans and Democrats respectively. Among self-declared independents, White holds a slight advantage at 38 percent to 31 percent. With the overall state political environment still clearly favoring Republicans – 46 percent GOP versus 21 percent Democratic – and likely to remain so with continued dissatisfaction with the Obama Administration, the Republican Party affiliation advantage is a clear advantage for Perry.
These results are taken from a survey of 605 active registered voter households with a margin of error of +/- 3.98 percent.
Tags: Bill White, Rick Perry
